Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 63.5%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 5.2%
<0% 4.5%
$29,445 ปริมาณ
$29,445 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
5%
0-1.0%
64%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 63.5%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 5.2%
<0% 4.5%
$29,445 ปริมาณ
$29,445 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,623 ปริมาณ
5%
0-1.0%
$11,193 ปริมาณ
64%
1.0-2.0%
$6,976 ปริมาณ
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,131 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,047 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,134 ปริมาณ
5%
5.0-6.0%
$1,136 ปริมาณ
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,599 ปริมาณ
<1%
7.0%+
$1,606 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,445วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,445วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price shocks tied to Middle East tensions have lifted Euro area inflation forecasts to around 3% for 2026 while prompting downward revisions to GDP growth projections from institutions including the ECB (0.8%), European Commission (0.9%), and OECD (0.8%). These developments, alongside ECB rate hikes and tighter financial conditions, underpin the 63.5% implied probability on 0-1.0% annual growth, with the secondary 24.5% probability on 1.0-2.0% reflecting modest Q2 resilience from AI investment and fiscal support. Traders appear focused on the balance between persistent stagflation risks and potential de-escalation catalysts ahead of further data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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