The elevated 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a stable macroeconomic backdrop, with the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75% amid core PCE inflation above the 2% target and unemployment near 4.2–4.6%. Recent FOMC communications and projections signal a data-dependent pause or potential hikes rather than accommodative shifts, as modest GDP growth persists without acute recession or liquidity stresses. This consensus draws from the absence of triggers like sharp equity declines or banking strains that historically prompt intermeeting action. Still, an abrupt geopolitical shock, major corporate default, or rapid labor market deterioration could alter conditions and raise the likelihood of an unscheduled easing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8% โอกาส
$140,762 ปริมาณ
$140,762 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
8% โอกาส
$140,762 ปริมาณ
$140,762 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The elevated 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a stable macroeconomic backdrop, with the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75% amid core PCE inflation above the 2% target and unemployment near 4.2–4.6%. Recent FOMC communications and projections signal a data-dependent pause or potential hikes rather than accommodative shifts, as modest GDP growth persists without acute recession or liquidity stresses. This consensus draws from the absence of triggers like sharp equity declines or banking strains that historically prompt intermeeting action. Still, an abrupt geopolitical shock, major corporate default, or rapid labor market deterioration could alter conditions and raise the likelihood of an unscheduled easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140,762วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The elevated 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a stable macroeconomic backdrop, with the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75% amid core PCE inflation above the 2% target and unemployment near 4.2–4.6%. Recent FOMC communications and projections signal a data-dependent pause or potential hikes rather than accommodative shifts, as modest GDP growth persists without acute recession or liquidity stresses. This consensus draws from the absence of triggers like sharp equity declines or banking strains that historically prompt intermeeting action. Still, an abrupt geopolitical shock, major corporate default, or rapid labor market deterioration could alter conditions and raise the likelihood of an unscheduled easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140,762วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a stable macroeconomic backdrop, with the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75% amid core PCE inflation above the 2% target and unemployment near 4.2–4.6%. Recent FOMC communications and projections signal a data-dependent pause or potential hikes rather than accommodative shifts, as modest GDP growth persists without acute recession or liquidity stresses. This consensus draws from the absence of triggers like sharp equity declines or banking strains that historically prompt intermeeting action. Still, an abrupt geopolitical shock, major corporate default, or rapid labor market deterioration could alter conditions and raise the likelihood of an unscheduled easing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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