Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient economic data signaling no crisis warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3%—the hottest print since May 2023, fueling bets on steady or higher Fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, underscoring labor market stability amid sticky inflation and rising energy prices. Major banks like BofA and Goldman Sachs now forecast holds or hikes through year-end, aligning with CME FedWatch pricing a 71.5% chance of no changes by December 2026. Next FOMC on June 16-17 looms as the key test for policy shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$103,984 ปริมาณ
$103,984 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$103,984 ปริมาณ
$103,984 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient economic data signaling no crisis warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3%—the hottest print since May 2023, fueling bets on steady or higher Fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, underscoring labor market stability amid sticky inflation and rising energy prices. Major banks like BofA and Goldman Sachs now forecast holds or hikes through year-end, aligning with CME FedWatch pricing a 71.5% chance of no changes by December 2026. Next FOMC on June 16-17 looms as the key test for policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,984วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient economic data signaling no crisis warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3%—the hottest print since May 2023, fueling bets on steady or higher Fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, underscoring labor market stability amid sticky inflation and rising energy prices. Major banks like BofA and Goldman Sachs now forecast holds or hikes through year-end, aligning with CME FedWatch pricing a 71.5% chance of no changes by December 2026. Next FOMC on June 16-17 looms as the key test for policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,984วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient economic data signaling no crisis warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI surged 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3%—the hottest print since May 2023, fueling bets on steady or higher Fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, underscoring labor market stability amid sticky inflation and rising energy prices. Major banks like BofA and Goldman Sachs now forecast holds or hikes through year-end, aligning with CME FedWatch pricing a 71.5% chance of no changes by December 2026. Next FOMC on June 16-17 looms as the key test for policy shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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