Florida's newly redrawn 9th congressional district favors Republican performance following the state legislature's April 2026 map changes signed by Governor DeSantis, shifting the partisan voting index to R+8. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed from the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green emerged from a crowded Republican primary. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican. These structural shifts from redistricting, combined with the district's competitive history under the prior map, underpin trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing for a Republican victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$18,498 ปริมาณ
$18,498 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
$18,498 ปริมาณ
$18,498 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,873 ปริมาณ
72%
Democratic Party
$7,625 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 9th congressional district favors Republican performance following the state legislature's April 2026 map changes signed by Governor DeSantis, shifting the partisan voting index to R+8. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed from the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green emerged from a crowded Republican primary. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican. These structural shifts from redistricting, combined with the district's competitive history under the prior map, underpin trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,498วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly redrawn 9th congressional district favors Republican performance following the state legislature's April 2026 map changes signed by Governor DeSantis, shifting the partisan voting index to R+8. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed from the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green emerged from a crowded Republican primary. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican. These structural shifts from redistricting, combined with the district's competitive history under the prior map, underpin trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,498วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly redrawn 9th congressional district favors Republican performance following the state legislature's April 2026 map changes signed by Governor DeSantis, shifting the partisan voting index to R+8. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed from the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green emerged from a crowded Republican primary. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican. These structural shifts from redistricting, combined with the district's competitive history under the prior map, underpin trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing for a Republican victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย