A crowded field of seven Republicans is competing in Florida’s 9th Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, to challenge Democratic incumbent Darren Soto in the redrawn seat. Recent Victory Insights polling shows Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14 percent with Dan Green close behind, all within the margin of error. Chalifoux’s prior 2024 nomination bid, Butler’s agricultural background, Martinez’s local business profile, and Green’s recent endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna have kept the contest fragmented. Candidate forums and overlapping conservative messaging on costs and inflation have prevented any single contender from consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with minor shifts possible from final early-voting data or turnout patterns before primary day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThomas Chalifoux 30%
Ben Butler 27.8%
Jorge Martinez 23.4%
Dan Green 22%
$109,279 ปริมาณ
$109,279 ปริมาณ
Thomas Chalifoux
30%
Ben Butler
28%
Jorge Martinez
23%
Dan Green
22%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
Thomas Chalifoux 30%
Ben Butler 27.8%
Jorge Martinez 23.4%
Dan Green 22%
$109,279 ปริมาณ
$109,279 ปริมาณ
Thomas Chalifoux
30%
Ben Butler
28%
Jorge Martinez
23%
Dan Green
22%
Justin Story
<1%
Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Malavet
<1%
Marcus Carter
<1%
Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A crowded field of seven Republicans is competing in Florida’s 9th Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, to challenge Democratic incumbent Darren Soto in the redrawn seat. Recent Victory Insights polling shows Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14 percent with Dan Green close behind, all within the margin of error. Chalifoux’s prior 2024 nomination bid, Butler’s agricultural background, Martinez’s local business profile, and Green’s recent endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna have kept the contest fragmented. Candidate forums and overlapping conservative messaging on costs and inflation have prevented any single contender from consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with minor shifts possible from final early-voting data or turnout patterns before primary day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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