Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 82.5% in Florida's 11th congressional district House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+8) and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Daniel Webster's 60.4% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting finalized by Governor DeSantis in late April 2026 bolstered the district's Republican lean amid a statewide shift toward a projected 24-4 GOP edge. Webster's retirement announcement triggered a crowded Republican primary featuring Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau for the August 18 contest, contrasting a underfunded Democratic field led by prior nominee Barbie Harden Hall. With filing deadline approaching June 12 and no polls available, structural advantages sustain high GOP probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$18,333 ปริมาณ
$18,333 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
$18,333 ปริมาณ
$18,333 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,268 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$11,065 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 82.5% in Florida's 11th congressional district House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+8) and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Daniel Webster's 60.4% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting finalized by Governor DeSantis in late April 2026 bolstered the district's Republican lean amid a statewide shift toward a projected 24-4 GOP edge. Webster's retirement announcement triggered a crowded Republican primary featuring Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau for the August 18 contest, contrasting a underfunded Democratic field led by prior nominee Barbie Harden Hall. With filing deadline approaching June 12 and no polls available, structural advantages sustain high GOP probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 82.5% in Florida's 11th congressional district House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+8) and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Daniel Webster's 60.4% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting finalized by Governor DeSantis in late April 2026 bolstered the district's Republican lean amid a statewide shift toward a projected 24-4 GOP edge. Webster's retirement announcement triggered a crowded Republican primary featuring Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau for the August 18 contest, contrasting a underfunded Democratic field led by prior nominee Barbie Harden Hall. With filing deadline approaching June 12 and no polls available, structural advantages sustain high GOP probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,333วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 82.5% in Florida's 11th congressional district House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating (Cook PVI R+8) and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Daniel Webster's 60.4% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting finalized by Governor DeSantis in late April 2026 bolstered the district's Republican lean amid a statewide shift toward a projected 24-4 GOP edge. Webster's retirement announcement triggered a crowded Republican primary featuring Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau for the August 18 contest, contrasting a underfunded Democratic field led by prior nominee Barbie Harden Hall. With filing deadline approaching June 12 and no polls available, structural advantages sustain high GOP probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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