France’s 2027 presidential race remains open because incumbent Emmanuel Macron is constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, prompting an unusually crowded field of declared and potential candidates across the center, right, and left. Multiple high-profile announcements occurred in 2026, including Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, Jean-Luc Mélenchon for La France Insoumise, Marine Le Pen for National Rally after a court reduced her prior office-holding restriction, and Bruno Retailleau’s selection by The Republicans’ members. Édouard Philippe has also advanced his campaign with public events. Traders monitor polling trends, party primaries or endorsements, and any further formal declarations before the April 2027 first round, as these developments directly influence implied probabilities on announcement timing and frontrunner positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$61,503 ปริมาณ
Éric Zemmour
60%
Jordan Bardella
8%
Michel Barnier
11%
Valérie Pécresse
9%
Élisabeth Borne
14%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
8%
Jean Castex
7%
Gérald Darmanin
11%
Sébastien Lecornu
13%
François Bayrou
6%
Bernard Cazeneuve
62%
Carole Delga
12%
Olivier Faure
28%
François Hollande
34%
Raphaël Glucksmann
77%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Mathilde Panot
4%
Dominique de Villepin
50%
$61,503 ปริมาณ
Éric Zemmour
60%
Jordan Bardella
8%
Michel Barnier
11%
Valérie Pécresse
9%
Élisabeth Borne
14%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
8%
Jean Castex
7%
Gérald Darmanin
11%
Sébastien Lecornu
13%
François Bayrou
6%
Bernard Cazeneuve
62%
Carole Delga
12%
Olivier Faure
28%
François Hollande
34%
Raphaël Glucksmann
77%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Mathilde Panot
4%
Dominique de Villepin
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...France’s 2027 presidential race remains open because incumbent Emmanuel Macron is constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, prompting an unusually crowded field of declared and potential candidates across the center, right, and left. Multiple high-profile announcements occurred in 2026, including Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, Jean-Luc Mélenchon for La France Insoumise, Marine Le Pen for National Rally after a court reduced her prior office-holding restriction, and Bruno Retailleau’s selection by The Republicans’ members. Édouard Philippe has also advanced his campaign with public events. Traders monitor polling trends, party primaries or endorsements, and any further formal declarations before the April 2027 first round, as these developments directly influence implied probabilities on announcement timing and frontrunner positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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