Google’s latest Gemini 3.1 Pro and related variants have posted verified scores near 38 percent on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 at 47.6 percent on the current leaderboard. Traders are watching for any official Gemini update or “Deep Think” scaling that could close the gap before the June 30 resolution, especially given the benchmark’s recent internal review that flagged errors in roughly one-third of problems. Historical release cadence suggests Google could ship incremental gains, yet persistent gaps on Tier 4 problems and rapid OpenAI progress create the main uncertainty for whether any Gemini model reaches the 40 percent or higher thresholds priced in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$136,324 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
86%
45%+
65%
50%+
62%
60%+
54%
$136,324 ปริมาณ
40%+
$30,573 ปริมาณ
86%
45%+
$49,669 ปริมาณ
65%
50%+
$18,855 ปริมาณ
62%
60%+
$37,227 ปริมาณ
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s latest Gemini 3.1 Pro and related variants have posted verified scores near 38 percent on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 at 47.6 percent on the current leaderboard. Traders are watching for any official Gemini update or “Deep Think” scaling that could close the gap before the June 30 resolution, especially given the benchmark’s recent internal review that flagged errors in roughly one-third of problems. Historical release cadence suggests Google could ship incremental gains, yet persistent gaps on Tier 4 problems and rapid OpenAI progress create the main uncertainty for whether any Gemini model reaches the 40 percent or higher thresholds priced in the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,324วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s latest Gemini 3.1 Pro and related variants have posted verified scores near 38 percent on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 at 47.6 percent on the current leaderboard. Traders are watching for any official Gemini update or “Deep Think” scaling that could close the gap before the June 30 resolution, especially given the benchmark’s recent internal review that flagged errors in roughly one-third of problems. Historical release cadence suggests Google could ship incremental gains, yet persistent gaps on Tier 4 problems and rapid OpenAI progress create the main uncertainty for whether any Gemini model reaches the 40 percent or higher thresholds priced in the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,324วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s latest Gemini 3.1 Pro and related variants have posted verified scores near 38 percent on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 at 47.6 percent on the current leaderboard. Traders are watching for any official Gemini update or “Deep Think” scaling that could close the gap before the June 30 resolution, especially given the benchmark’s recent internal review that flagged errors in roughly one-third of problems. Historical release cadence suggests Google could ship incremental gains, yet persistent gaps on Tier 4 problems and rapid OpenAI progress create the main uncertainty for whether any Gemini model reaches the 40 percent or higher thresholds priced in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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