Recent forecast model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr, and the UK Met Office positions a maximum of 31°C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. Current runs show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under dry conditions with minimal moisture advection, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two bins and limited probability mass at 32°C or higher. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context for the slightly elevated readings, while the absence of frontal systems or significant wind shifts keeps uncertainty low. Updated model guidance expected overnight will offer the final refinement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
31°C 64%
30°C 28%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
28%
31°C
64%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 64%
30°C 28%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$179 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$275 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$211 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$769 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$1,522 ปริมาณ
64%
32°C
$450 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$283 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$211 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr, and the UK Met Office positions a maximum of 31°C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. Current runs show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under dry conditions with minimal moisture advection, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two bins and limited probability mass at 32°C or higher. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context for the slightly elevated readings, while the absence of frontal systems or significant wind shifts keeps uncertainty low. Updated model guidance expected overnight will offer the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,474วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr, and the UK Met Office positions a maximum of 31°C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. Current runs show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under dry conditions with minimal moisture advection, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two bins and limited probability mass at 32°C or higher. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context for the slightly elevated readings, while the absence of frontal systems or significant wind shifts keeps uncertainty low. Updated model guidance expected overnight will offer the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,474วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr, and the UK Met Office positions a maximum of 31°C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. Current runs show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under dry conditions with minimal moisture advection, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those two bins and limited probability mass at 32°C or higher. Historical September averages near 26–27°C provide context for the slightly elevated readings, while the absence of frontal systems or significant wind shifts keeps uncertainty low. Updated model guidance expected overnight will offer the final refinement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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