Recent forecasts from official sources indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Ankara on September 10, supporting strong daytime solar heating under persistent high pressure. Temperatures have run 2–4°C above seasonal norms in recent days, with model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 30°C at central stations. Historical September 10 averages hover around 26–27°C, but the current dry, cloud-free pattern elevates the implied probability of 30°C (63.5%) or 31°C (25%) as the most likely outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor variability in exact peak timing and station-specific readings ahead of official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
30°C 65%
31°C 25%
29°C 9%
32°C 5%
$14,029 ปริมาณ
$14,029 ปริมาณ
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
65%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 65%
31°C 25%
29°C 9%
32°C 5%
$14,029 ปริมาณ
$14,029 ปริมาณ
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
65%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official sources indicate clear skies and light westerly winds over Ankara on September 10, supporting strong daytime solar heating under persistent high pressure. Temperatures have run 2–4°C above seasonal norms in recent days, with model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 30°C at central stations. Historical September 10 averages hover around 26–27°C, but the current dry, cloud-free pattern elevates the implied probability of 30°C (63.5%) or 31°C (25%) as the most likely outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor variability in exact peak timing and station-specific readings ahead of official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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