Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 6?
37°C 28%
38°C 16%
36°C 16%
39°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 6, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
10%
36°C
16%
37°C
28%
38°C
10%
39°C
9%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
37°C 28%
38°C 16%
36°C 16%
39°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 6, 2026
32°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
37°C
$74 ปริมาณ
28%
38°C
$30 ปริมาณ
10%
39°C
$19 ปริมาณ
9%
40°C
$2 ปริมาณ
5%
41°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
42°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to peak temperatures of 35–38°C in Chengdu on July 6, reflecting the narrow range typical for early-July conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and topographic trapping of warm, moist air, which amplifies daytime heating under clear skies while frequent afternoon thunderstorms can moderate maxima. Current short-term model guidance and seasonal analogs point to highs near 35°C, with slight upward shifts possible if high-pressure ridging strengthens or cloud cover decreases; conversely, enhanced monsoon moisture or convective activity would favor the lower end. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add a small but consistent warming bias, and resolution hinges on official station readings distinguishing these close thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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