Chongqing's July 5 maximum temperature market reflects high uncertainty around mid-30s °C readings, driven by short-term forecast models showing daytime highs of 32–36 °C amid the city's typical subtropical monsoon conditions and basin topography that traps heat and humidity. Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicates a warming trend through early July, with recent days already reaching 33–35 °C, though variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and steering influences from the Western Pacific Subtropical High could cap or elevate peaks. The spread across 32–34 °C outcomes captures model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity, while lower-probability extremes hinge on rare heatwave amplification or atypical cooling outflows. Traders weigh these variables against July climatology averaging 33 °C highs as new model runs arrive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 5?
34°C 42%
33°C 22%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
22%
34°C
42%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 22%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
22%
34°C
42%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's July 5 maximum temperature market reflects high uncertainty around mid-30s °C readings, driven by short-term forecast models showing daytime highs of 32–36 °C amid the city's typical subtropical monsoon conditions and basin topography that traps heat and humidity. Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicates a warming trend through early July, with recent days already reaching 33–35 °C, though variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and steering influences from the Western Pacific Subtropical High could cap or elevate peaks. The spread across 32–34 °C outcomes captures model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity, while lower-probability extremes hinge on rare heatwave amplification or atypical cooling outflows. Traders weigh these variables against July climatology averaging 33 °C highs as new model runs arrive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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