Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on July 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 24?
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 25%
90-91°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 25%
90-91°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
81°F or below
$225 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$174 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$463 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$9 ปริมาณ
2%
90-91°F
$182 ปริมาณ
6%
92-93°F
$216 ปริมาณ
26%
94-95°F
$61 ปริมาณ
43%
96-97°F
$269 ปริมาณ
25%
98-99°F
$61 ปริมาณ
3%
100°F or higher
$78 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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