Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 18?
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$47,208 ปริมาณ
$47,208 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$47,208 ปริมาณ
$47,208 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
91°F or below
$127 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$4,115 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$3,225 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$9,594 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$15,443 ปริมาณ
Yes
100-101°F
$9,157 ปริมาณ
No
102-103°F
$4,386 ปริมาณ
No
104-105°F
$669 ปริมาณ
No
106-107°F
$212 ปริมาณ
No
108-109°F
$140 ปริมาณ
No
110°F or higher
$140 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,208วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,208วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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