**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low near 80°F for Miami on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 50% implied probability.** Southerly flow, persistently high dew points in the mid-to-upper 70s, and typical late-summer moisture limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid- or upper 70s. Afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms and humid conditions further suppress the diurnal temperature range. Recent NWS updates highlight a Heat Advisory through the period, with guidance showing only modest dew-point relief possible this weekend and no approaching fronts or drier air masses to drive cooler readings. Historical August baselines for Miami lows cluster around 78–82°F under similar patterns, reinforcing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 79–83°F range. Updated model runs and the next NHC/NOAA briefing on steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 22?
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 50%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$153 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$93 ปริมาณ
8%
76-77°F
$106 ปริมาณ
7%
78-79°F
$27 ปริมาณ
19%
80-81°F
$562 ปริมาณ
50%
82-83°F
$83 ปริมาณ
23%
84-85°F
$124 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$148 ปริมาณ
2%
88°F or higher
$615 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low near 80°F for Miami on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 50% implied probability.** Southerly flow, persistently high dew points in the mid-to-upper 70s, and typical late-summer moisture limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid- or upper 70s. Afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms and humid conditions further suppress the diurnal temperature range.
Recent NWS updates highlight a Heat Advisory through the period, with guidance showing only modest dew-point relief possible this weekend and no approaching fronts or drier air masses to drive cooler readings. Historical August baselines for Miami lows cluster around 78–82°F under similar patterns, reinforcing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 79–83°F range. Updated model runs and the next NHC/NOAA briefing on steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,308วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low near 80°F for Miami on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 50% implied probability.** Southerly flow, persistently high dew points in the mid-to-upper 70s, and typical late-summer moisture limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid- or upper 70s. Afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms and humid conditions further suppress the diurnal temperature range.
Recent NWS updates highlight a Heat Advisory through the period, with guidance showing only modest dew-point relief possible this weekend and no approaching fronts or drier air masses to drive cooler readings. Historical August baselines for Miami lows cluster around 78–82°F under similar patterns, reinforcing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 79–83°F range. Updated model runs and the next NHC/NOAA briefing on steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,308วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low near 80°F for Miami on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 50% implied probability.** Southerly flow, persistently high dew points in the mid-to-upper 70s, and typical late-summer moisture limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid- or upper 70s. Afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms and humid conditions further suppress the diurnal temperature range. Recent NWS updates highlight a Heat Advisory through the period, with guidance showing only modest dew-point relief possible this weekend and no approaching fronts or drier air masses to drive cooler readings. Historical August baselines for Miami lows cluster around 78–82°F under similar patterns, reinforcing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 79–83°F range. Updated model runs and the next NHC/NOAA briefing on steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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