Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 22?
29°C 34%
28°C 31%
27°C 15%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
31%
29°C
34%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 31%
27°C 15%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
$2,094 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,833 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,646 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$586 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$251 ปริมาณ
15%
28°C
$473 ปริมาณ
31%
29°C
$429 ปริมาณ
34%
30°C
$407 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$247 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$191 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$91 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,247วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,247วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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