Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 22 will reach the mid-60s Fahrenheit under a building ridge of high pressure, supporting the market's overwhelming 95.7% implied probability for 64°F or higher. This outlook aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the Pacific Northwest, where daytime warming accelerates after mid-May with average highs near 65°F and reduced marine influence. Key variables include minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds that limit cooling from the Puget Sound. A stronger onshore flow or unexpected low-level marine layer could cap readings below 64°F, though such shifts remain unlikely given the current model consensus and stable atmospheric setup through the weekend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.3%
62-63°F 2.1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$33,479 ปริมาณ
$33,479 ปริมาณ
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64°F or higher
95%
64°F or higher 95.3%
62-63°F 2.1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$33,479 ปริมาณ
$33,479 ปริมาณ
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64°F or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 22 will reach the mid-60s Fahrenheit under a building ridge of high pressure, supporting the market's overwhelming 95.7% implied probability for 64°F or higher. This outlook aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the Pacific Northwest, where daytime warming accelerates after mid-May with average highs near 65°F and reduced marine influence. Key variables include minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds that limit cooling from the Puget Sound. A stronger onshore flow or unexpected low-level marine layer could cap readings below 64°F, though such shifts remain unlikely given the current model consensus and stable atmospheric setup through the weekend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย