Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
ใหม่
$45,939 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$45,939 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
16°C
42%
17°C
47%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
ใหม่
$45,939 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$45,939 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
16°C
$2,227 ปริมาณ
42%
17°C
$2,103 ปริมาณ
47%
18°C
$1,878 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$1,828 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$848 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,939วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,939วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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