Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on July 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 20?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
25°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
25°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
$82 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$88 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$199วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$199วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from major global ensembles places Moscow’s July 20 maximum near 26–28 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover explain the near-even split between 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C, while climatological July highs of 23–25 °C provide the baseline traders adjust upward against the latest runs. With resolution only two days away, morning updates from Russian meteorological observations and refined high-resolution guidance will be the next key inputs likely to shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย