Jeddah’s July climatology drives the elevated odds for 40°C or higher, as the Red Sea coastal location experiences peak summer heating with average daily highs near 38–40°C and frequent excursions above that threshold under clear skies and light winds. National Center for Meteorology records show July mean maxima of 40.3°C across Saudi stations, while recent observations from mid-July 2026 have already reached 38–39°C. Short-range forecast models from regional agencies indicate continued stable high-pressure conditions through July 20 with minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could moderate temperatures, supporting trader consensus around the 40°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported for the Jeddah station, with any late-model cooling or measurement adjustment the main remaining uncertainty before the close of the trading window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 20?
40°C or higher 60%
39°C 25%
38°C 23%
37°C 12%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
12%
38°C
23%
39°C
25%
40°C or higher
60%
40°C or higher 60%
39°C 25%
38°C 23%
37°C 12%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
12%
38°C
23%
39°C
25%
40°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah’s July climatology drives the elevated odds for 40°C or higher, as the Red Sea coastal location experiences peak summer heating with average daily highs near 38–40°C and frequent excursions above that threshold under clear skies and light winds. National Center for Meteorology records show July mean maxima of 40.3°C across Saudi stations, while recent observations from mid-July 2026 have already reached 38–39°C. Short-range forecast models from regional agencies indicate continued stable high-pressure conditions through July 20 with minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could moderate temperatures, supporting trader consensus around the 40°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported for the Jeddah station, with any late-model cooling or measurement adjustment the main remaining uncertainty before the close of the trading window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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