Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?
29°C 32%
30°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
22%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
15%
29°C 32%
30°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
$137 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$200 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$12 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$8 ปริมาณ
32%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
33°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$423วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$423วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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