Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 17?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 17, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 17, 2026
73°F or below
$62 ปริมาณ
2%
74-75°F
$27 ปริมาณ
7%
76-77°F
$84 ปริมาณ
30%
78-79°F
$144 ปริมาณ
43%
80-81°F
$42 ปริมาณ
19%
82-83°F
$46 ปริมาณ
6%
84-85°F
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$293 ปริมาณ
<1%
92°F or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cooling after the mid-July heat wave's peak is the main driver behind trader sentiment clustering around 78–81°F for Los Angeles' July 17 high. Weakening high pressure has allowed stronger onshore flow and a deeper marine layer to advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific, while the afternoon sea breeze further caps temperatures in the basin. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs (GFS/ECMWF) show downtown or airport readings settling in the upper 70s to low 80s rather than the mid-90s seen mid-week, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact marine intrusion timing. Historical July averages near 83–85°F provide context, but the post-heatwave pattern favors the current tight distribution across the three leading bins. Updated afternoon forecasts and any late-model shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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