Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on July 17?
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 18%
96-97°F 8%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 18%
96-97°F 8%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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