Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 20?
16°C 67%
10°C or below 46%
12°C 44%
11°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
10°C or below
46%
11°C
36%
12°C
44%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
35%
16°C
67%
17°C
32%
18°C
14%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
11%
16°C 67%
10°C or below 46%
12°C 44%
11°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
16°C
$27 ปริมาณ
67%
17°C
$27 ปริมาณ
32%
18°C
$22 ปริมาณ
14%
19°C
$22 ปริมาณ
9%
20°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$119วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$119วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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