Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on July 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 25?
30°C 38%
31°C 30%
32°C 14%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
38%
31°C
30%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
31°C 30%
32°C 14%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 25, 2026
26°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$45 ปริมาณ
38%
31°C
$16 ปริมาณ
30%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$23 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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