Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on July 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 9?
28°C 32%
27°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
28%
28°C
32%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
27°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
23°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$76 ปริมาณ
15%
27°C
$52 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$62 ปริมาณ
32%
29°C
$165 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$21 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$418วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$418วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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