**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively. After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%. Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on July 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 24?
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 8.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
86-87°F 8.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
77°F or below
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$251 ปริมาณ
2%
80-81°F
$736 ปริมาณ
25%
82-83°F
$309 ปริมาณ
45%
84-85°F
$284 ปริมาณ
23%
86-87°F
$439 ปริมาณ
8%
88-89°F
$258 ปริมาณ
2%
90-91°F
$179 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
96°F or higher
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively.
After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%.
Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,168วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively.
After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%.
Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,168วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively. After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%. Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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