Current forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 29–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. In the peak wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap temperatures at or slightly above the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Small differences in shower timing, humidity levels, and local sea-breeze strength create the narrow 1°C spread traders are pricing, while historical data show extremes below 29°C or above 33°C remain uncommon given stable equatorial conditions and neutral ENSO. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$52 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$22 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$7 ปริมาณ
21%
31°C
$46 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$62 ปริมาณ
32%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$63 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 29–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. In the peak wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap temperatures at or slightly above the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Small differences in shower timing, humidity levels, and local sea-breeze strength create the narrow 1°C spread traders are pricing, while historical data show extremes below 29°C or above 33°C remain uncommon given stable equatorial conditions and neutral ENSO. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$277วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 29–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. In the peak wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap temperatures at or slightly above the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Small differences in shower timing, humidity levels, and local sea-breeze strength create the narrow 1°C spread traders are pricing, while historical data show extremes below 29°C or above 33°C remain uncommon given stable equatorial conditions and neutral ENSO. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$277วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 29–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. In the peak wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap temperatures at or slightly above the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Small differences in shower timing, humidity levels, and local sea-breeze strength create the narrow 1°C spread traders are pricing, while historical data show extremes below 29°C or above 33°C remain uncommon given stable equatorial conditions and neutral ENSO. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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