**Wellington's winter temperature maximum on July 9, 2026, is tightly contested between 11°C (49%) and 12°C (44%) because recent model guidance and climatology place the likely peak squarely in that narrow band.** Wellington sits at the exposed northern end of Cook Strait, where southerly winds frequently advect cooler maritime air while strong gusts enhance mixing and limit daytime warming. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show a high near 11–12 °C under overcast skies with showers and winds exceeding 30 mph, consistent with NIWA’s seasonal outlook of near- or below-average temperatures for the central North Island region. Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, while any frontal passage or wind shift can shave or add a degree to the daily maximum. Historical July highs cluster between roughly 11–14 °C, so the market’s near-even split between the two leading outcomes accurately reflects both forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours and the physical variability typical of the strait’s dynamic boundary-layer environment. Newer model runs or observed wind trends on the 8th will be the key near-term drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on July 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 9?
11°C 51%
12°C 30%
10°C 15%
9°C 1.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
15%
11°C
51%
12°C
30%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 51%
12°C 30%
10°C 15%
9°C 1.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 9, 2026
5°C or below
$329 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$209 ปริมาณ
2%
10°C
$227 ปริมาณ
15%
11°C
$419 ปริมาณ
51%
12°C
$1,028 ปริมาณ
30%
13°C
$143 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C or higher
$87 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Wellington's winter temperature maximum on July 9, 2026, is tightly contested between 11°C (49%) and 12°C (44%) because recent model guidance and climatology place the likely peak squarely in that narrow band.**
Wellington sits at the exposed northern end of Cook Strait, where southerly winds frequently advect cooler maritime air while strong gusts enhance mixing and limit daytime warming. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show a high near 11–12 °C under overcast skies with showers and winds exceeding 30 mph, consistent with NIWA’s seasonal outlook of near- or below-average temperatures for the central North Island region.
Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, while any frontal passage or wind shift can shave or add a degree to the daily maximum. Historical July highs cluster between roughly 11–14 °C, so the market’s near-even split between the two leading outcomes accurately reflects both forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours and the physical variability typical of the strait’s dynamic boundary-layer environment. Newer model runs or observed wind trends on the 8th will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,962วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Wellington's winter temperature maximum on July 9, 2026, is tightly contested between 11°C (49%) and 12°C (44%) because recent model guidance and climatology place the likely peak squarely in that narrow band.**
Wellington sits at the exposed northern end of Cook Strait, where southerly winds frequently advect cooler maritime air while strong gusts enhance mixing and limit daytime warming. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show a high near 11–12 °C under overcast skies with showers and winds exceeding 30 mph, consistent with NIWA’s seasonal outlook of near- or below-average temperatures for the central North Island region.
Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, while any frontal passage or wind shift can shave or add a degree to the daily maximum. Historical July highs cluster between roughly 11–14 °C, so the market’s near-even split between the two leading outcomes accurately reflects both forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours and the physical variability typical of the strait’s dynamic boundary-layer environment. Newer model runs or observed wind trends on the 8th will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,962วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Wellington's winter temperature maximum on July 9, 2026, is tightly contested between 11°C (49%) and 12°C (44%) because recent model guidance and climatology place the likely peak squarely in that narrow band.** Wellington sits at the exposed northern end of Cook Strait, where southerly winds frequently advect cooler maritime air while strong gusts enhance mixing and limit daytime warming. Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show a high near 11–12 °C under overcast skies with showers and winds exceeding 30 mph, consistent with NIWA’s seasonal outlook of near- or below-average temperatures for the central North Island region. Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, while any frontal passage or wind shift can shave or add a degree to the daily maximum. Historical July highs cluster between roughly 11–14 °C, so the market’s near-even split between the two leading outcomes accurately reflects both forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours and the physical variability typical of the strait’s dynamic boundary-layer environment. Newer model runs or observed wind trends on the 8th will be the key near-term drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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