Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 10?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 10?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 ปริมาณ
$6,002 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 ปริมาณ
$6,002 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
$292 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$262 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,282 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$226 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$447 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$804 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$358 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$602 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$381 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$727 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$621 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,002วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,002วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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