Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and regional analyses indicates a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 19 likely between 28–31°C, driven by light rain or showers, high humidity near 70–90%, and light easterly winds moderating daytime heating. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in peak values, as cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift maxima by several degrees on the Saffir-Simpson-independent Celsius scale used for resolution. Historical August averages near 31–33°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than seasonal norms. Traders' near-even allocation across 27–31°C reflects this model spread, with low odds on extremes underscoring limited potential for significant deviation. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the outlook ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 19?
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and regional analyses indicates a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 19 likely between 28–31°C, driven by light rain or showers, high humidity near 70–90%, and light easterly winds moderating daytime heating. These conditions create genuine uncertainty in peak values, as cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift maxima by several degrees on the Saffir-Simpson-independent Celsius scale used for resolution. Historical August averages near 31–33°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than seasonal norms. Traders' near-even allocation across 27–31°C reflects this model spread, with low odds on extremes underscoring limited potential for significant deviation. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the outlook ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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