Global averages from USGS data indicate roughly 10–15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur worldwide each week, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along major fault systems such as subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus favoring >9 events (44% implied probability) aligns with this baseline rate, while the low odds on ≤5 reflect the statistical unlikelihood of a quiet period. A M7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and scattered M5.5+ activity in early June have kept recent counts near normal without signaling a cluster or swarm. No major aftershock sequences or unusual seismic indicators from monitoring agencies currently alter expectations for the June 15–21 window, though random variability in aftershock decay and distant triggering remains possible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
>9 44%
9 12%
≤5 12%
7 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
≤5
12%
6
10%
7
11%
8
11%
9
12%
>9
44%
>9 44%
9 12%
≤5 12%
7 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 21, 2026
≤5
$198 ปริมาณ
12%
6
$40 ปริมาณ
10%
7
$42 ปริมาณ
11%
8
$40 ปริมาณ
11%
9
$58 ปริมาณ
12%
>9
$112 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global averages from USGS data indicate roughly 10–15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur worldwide each week, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along major fault systems such as subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus favoring >9 events (44% implied probability) aligns with this baseline rate, while the low odds on ≤5 reflect the statistical unlikelihood of a quiet period. A M7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and scattered M5.5+ activity in early June have kept recent counts near normal without signaling a cluster or swarm. No major aftershock sequences or unusual seismic indicators from monitoring agencies currently alter expectations for the June 15–21 window, though random variability in aftershock decay and distant triggering remains possible.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$491วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global averages from USGS data indicate roughly 10–15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur worldwide each week, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along major fault systems such as subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus favoring >9 events (44% implied probability) aligns with this baseline rate, while the low odds on ≤5 reflect the statistical unlikelihood of a quiet period. A M7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and scattered M5.5+ activity in early June have kept recent counts near normal without signaling a cluster or swarm. No major aftershock sequences or unusual seismic indicators from monitoring agencies currently alter expectations for the June 15–21 window, though random variability in aftershock decay and distant triggering remains possible.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$491วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global averages from USGS data indicate roughly 10–15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur worldwide each week, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along major fault systems such as subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus favoring >9 events (44% implied probability) aligns with this baseline rate, while the low odds on ≤5 reflect the statistical unlikelihood of a quiet period. A M7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and scattered M5.5+ activity in early June have kept recent counts near normal without signaling a cluster or swarm. No major aftershock sequences or unusual seismic indicators from monitoring agencies currently alter expectations for the June 15–21 window, though random variability in aftershock decay and distant triggering remains possible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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