Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
≤8 50%
10 15%
9 14%
11 12%
$90,387 ปริมาณ
$90,387 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
≤8
50%
9
20%
10
15%
11
12%
12
8%
13
3%
14+
2%
≤8 50%
10 15%
9 14%
11 12%
$90,387 ปริมาณ
$90,387 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
≤8
$25,442 ปริมาณ
50%
9
$17,549 ปริมาณ
20%
10
$8,417 ปริมาณ
15%
11
$28,083 ปริมาณ
12%
12
$4,406 ปริมาณ
8%
13
$2,773 ปริมาณ
3%
14+
$3,718 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,387วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,387วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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