Recent seismic activity along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones has produced five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This early pace aligns with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, positioning the year to reach or exceed eight total by June 30 under typical variability. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution marked by clustering and quiet intervals, with the current lull since late April adding uncertainty about near-term acceleration. Continued USGS monitoring of major fault systems will clarify whether activity resumes at historical rates or remains subdued through the June 30 resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วแผ่นดินไหวขนาด 7.0 หรือสูงกว่าภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายนมีกี่ครั้ง?
แผ่นดินไหวขนาด 7.0 หรือสูงกว่าภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายนมีกี่ครั้ง?
$1,854,431 ปริมาณ
$1,854,431 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
7
16%
8+
84%
$1,854,431 ปริมาณ
$1,854,431 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
7
$289,143 ปริมาณ
16%
8+
$551,702 ปริมาณ
84%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent seismic activity along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones has produced five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This early pace aligns with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, positioning the year to reach or exceed eight total by June 30 under typical variability. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution marked by clustering and quiet intervals, with the current lull since late April adding uncertainty about near-term acceleration. Continued USGS monitoring of major fault systems will clarify whether activity resumes at historical rates or remains subdued through the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,854,431วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent seismic activity along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones has produced five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This early pace aligns with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, positioning the year to reach or exceed eight total by June 30 under typical variability. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution marked by clustering and quiet intervals, with the current lull since late April adding uncertainty about near-term acceleration. Continued USGS monitoring of major fault systems will clarify whether activity resumes at historical rates or remains subdued through the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,854,431วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent seismic activity along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones has produced five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan. This early pace aligns with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, positioning the year to reach or exceed eight total by June 30 under typical variability. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution marked by clustering and quiet intervals, with the current lull since late April adding uncertainty about near-term acceleration. Continued USGS monitoring of major fault systems will clarify whether activity resumes at historical rates or remains subdued through the June 30 resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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