Democrats secured every U.S.-Mexico border congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections, delivering at least nine seats through a combination of incumbents holding firm and targeted flips in Texas and Arizona. Republican-led redistricting in Texas aimed to convert several Latino-majority districts but produced the opposite result, as candidates like Bobby Pulido and Katy Padilla Stout prevailed amid a pronounced swing in Hispanic voter support and broader national backlash against the prior administration. This outcome aligns with the market’s 100 percent pricing on nine or more seats, reflecting confirmed results across California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas districts. Late vote counts or narrow challenges in a small number of remaining races represent the primary, though limited, avenues that could still affect final tallies.