Trump’s second-term enforcement push has produced several hundred thousand formal removals annually, with ICE reporting over 350,000 in fiscal year 2026 through mid-summer amid doubled interior arrests and expanded detention capacity funded by recent congressional appropriations. Administration goals of one million annual deportations face persistent logistical, legal, and resource constraints, including court backlogs, fluctuating arrest volumes, and a shift toward prioritizing criminal noncitizens after border encounters fell sharply. These factors have anchored trader consensus around the 400-500k range for calendar-year 2026, reflecting observed throughput rather than stated targets, while lower and higher brackets price in risks from policy adjustments or capacity expansions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many people will Trump deport in 2026?
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
400-500k 64%
300-400k 18%
500-600k 9.3%
>1m 3.2%
$122,674 ปริมาณ
$122,674 ปริมาณ
<200k
2%
200-300k
<1%
300-400k
18%
400-500k
61%
500-600k
9%
600-700k
2%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
2%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
3%
400-500k 64%
300-400k 18%
500-600k 9.3%
>1m 3.2%
$122,674 ปริมาณ
$122,674 ปริมาณ
<200k
2%
200-300k
<1%
300-400k
18%
400-500k
61%
500-600k
9%
600-700k
2%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
2%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump’s second-term enforcement push has produced several hundred thousand formal removals annually, with ICE reporting over 350,000 in fiscal year 2026 through mid-summer amid doubled interior arrests and expanded detention capacity funded by recent congressional appropriations. Administration goals of one million annual deportations face persistent logistical, legal, and resource constraints, including court backlogs, fluctuating arrest volumes, and a shift toward prioritizing criminal noncitizens after border encounters fell sharply. These factors have anchored trader consensus around the 400-500k range for calendar-year 2026, reflecting observed throughput rather than stated targets, while lower and higher brackets price in risks from policy adjustments or capacity expansions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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