The close contest between the 300-400k and 400-500k bins reflects trader views on U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement capacity to scale operations in 2026 after formal removals reached roughly 443,000 in fiscal 2025. Recent budget documents set a 1 million annual target for fiscal 2026 and 2027, supported by expanded detention goals and arrests that tripled earlier in the term, yet daily arrests and detention populations have declined since January amid recalibration and public pushback. Primary factors include prioritization of criminal noncitizens, logistical constraints on interior enforcement, and cooperation with state partners, with separation likely hinging on whether new funding and policy adjustments accelerate removals before midterms or encounter sustained resistance from sanctuary jurisdictions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many people will Trump deport in 2026?
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
400-500k 33%
300-400k 30%
200-300k 17%
500-600k 6.9%
$105,520 ปริมาณ
$105,520 ปริมาณ
<200k
2%
200-300k
17%
300-400k
30%
400-500k
33%
500-600k
7%
600-700k
1%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
1%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
1%
400-500k 33%
300-400k 30%
200-300k 17%
500-600k 6.9%
$105,520 ปริมาณ
$105,520 ปริมาณ
<200k
2%
200-300k
17%
300-400k
30%
400-500k
33%
500-600k
7%
600-700k
1%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
1%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The close contest between the 300-400k and 400-500k bins reflects trader views on U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement capacity to scale operations in 2026 after formal removals reached roughly 443,000 in fiscal 2025. Recent budget documents set a 1 million annual target for fiscal 2026 and 2027, supported by expanded detention goals and arrests that tripled earlier in the term, yet daily arrests and detention populations have declined since January amid recalibration and public pushback. Primary factors include prioritization of criminal noncitizens, logistical constraints on interior enforcement, and cooperation with state partners, with separation likely hinging on whether new funding and policy adjustments accelerate removals before midterms or encounter sustained resistance from sanctuary jurisdictions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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