Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, matching the leading market outcome. This tally includes several long-serving members opting to retire after decades in office, alongside others pursuing different roles, amid a broader pattern of elevated congressional turnover. Primary drivers include advanced age for key figures, institutional fatigue, and personal decisions to exit rather than face primary or general-election contests. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states, traders assign meaningful probability to additional announcements that could shift the final count, though recent weeks have shown limited movement beyond the established seven. The current pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and individual factors shaping the remaining Senate class.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
7 64%
11 21.4%
8 14.6%
6 10.1%
$73,769 ปริมาณ
$73,769 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
<5
1%
5
4%
6
10%
7
64%
8
17%
9
4%
10
2%
11
21%
12+
1%
7 64%
11 21.4%
8 14.6%
6 10.1%
$73,769 ปริมาณ
$73,769 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
<5
$20,070 ปริมาณ
1%
5
$15,535 ปริมาณ
4%
6
$26,450 ปริมาณ
10%
7
$2,145 ปริมาณ
64%
8
$1,599 ปริมาณ
17%
9
$1,328 ปริมาณ
4%
10
$1,303 ปริมาณ
2%
11
$923 ปริมาณ
21%
12+
$4,416 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, matching the leading market outcome. This tally includes several long-serving members opting to retire after decades in office, alongside others pursuing different roles, amid a broader pattern of elevated congressional turnover. Primary drivers include advanced age for key figures, institutional fatigue, and personal decisions to exit rather than face primary or general-election contests. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states, traders assign meaningful probability to additional announcements that could shift the final count, though recent weeks have shown limited movement beyond the established seven. The current pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and individual factors shaping the remaining Senate class.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,769วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, matching the leading market outcome. This tally includes several long-serving members opting to retire after decades in office, alongside others pursuing different roles, amid a broader pattern of elevated congressional turnover. Primary drivers include advanced age for key figures, institutional fatigue, and personal decisions to exit rather than face primary or general-election contests. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states, traders assign meaningful probability to additional announcements that could shift the final count, though recent weeks have shown limited movement beyond the established seven. The current pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and individual factors shaping the remaining Senate class.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,769วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, matching the leading market outcome. This tally includes several long-serving members opting to retire after decades in office, alongside others pursuing different roles, amid a broader pattern of elevated congressional turnover. Primary drivers include advanced age for key figures, institutional fatigue, and personal decisions to exit rather than face primary or general-election contests. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states, traders assign meaningful probability to additional announcements that could shift the final count, though recent weeks have shown limited movement beyond the established seven. The current pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and individual factors shaping the remaining Senate class.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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