Israeli forces remain positioned in parts of southern Lebanon amid incomplete implementation of the 2024 ceasefire framework, which required phased IDF withdrawal coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani River. Recent developments include June 2026 U.S.-mediated talks establishing pilot withdrawal zones south of the Litani while the LAF assumes control, alongside Israeli announcements of partial pullbacks contingent on Hezbollah exclusion and maintenance of strategic outposts. Defense Minister statements emphasize situation-dependent presence in buffer areas, with operations extending northward in some periods and accusations of violations on both sides. Trader sentiment reflects these stalled timelines, security demands, and diplomatic pressures, with resolution hinging on verifiable LAF enforcement and any renewed deadlines in ongoing negotiations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsraeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
$1,151,678 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
3%
December 31
12%
$1,151,678 ปริมาณ
August 31
$97,257 ปริมาณ
3%
December 31
$319,820 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned in parts of southern Lebanon amid incomplete implementation of the 2024 ceasefire framework, which required phased IDF withdrawal coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani River. Recent developments include June 2026 U.S.-mediated talks establishing pilot withdrawal zones south of the Litani while the LAF assumes control, alongside Israeli announcements of partial pullbacks contingent on Hezbollah exclusion and maintenance of strategic outposts. Defense Minister statements emphasize situation-dependent presence in buffer areas, with operations extending northward in some periods and accusations of violations on both sides. Trader sentiment reflects these stalled timelines, security demands, and diplomatic pressures, with resolution hinging on verifiable LAF enforcement and any renewed deadlines in ongoing negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,151,678ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned in parts of southern Lebanon amid incomplete implementation of the 2024 ceasefire framework, which required phased IDF withdrawal coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani River. Recent developments include June 2026 U.S.-mediated talks establishing pilot withdrawal zones south of the Litani while the LAF assumes control, alongside Israeli announcements of partial pullbacks contingent on Hezbollah exclusion and maintenance of strategic outposts. Defense Minister statements emphasize situation-dependent presence in buffer areas, with operations extending northward in some periods and accusations of violations on both sides. Trader sentiment reflects these stalled timelines, security demands, and diplomatic pressures, with resolution hinging on verifiable LAF enforcement and any renewed deadlines in ongoing negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,151,678ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces remain positioned in parts of southern Lebanon amid incomplete implementation of the 2024 ceasefire framework, which required phased IDF withdrawal coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani River. Recent developments include June 2026 U.S.-mediated talks establishing pilot withdrawal zones south of the Litani while the LAF assumes control, alongside Israeli announcements of partial pullbacks contingent on Hezbollah exclusion and maintenance of strategic outposts. Defense Minister statements emphasize situation-dependent presence in buffer areas, with operations extending northward in some periods and accusations of violations on both sides. Trader sentiment reflects these stalled timelines, security demands, and diplomatic pressures, with resolution hinging on verifiable LAF enforcement and any renewed deadlines in ongoing negotiations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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