Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution or arrest on pre-existing charges, except for insurrection or treason. All five ongoing criminal cases—covering election-law violations, bribery, corruption, misuse of public funds, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—were indefinitely suspended by mid-2025 after he took office in June 2025, with courts citing constitutional protections. No new indictments, legislative moves to strip immunity, or impeachment proceedings have advanced as of mid-2026. These institutional barriers, combined with the absence of fresh legal actions capable of triggering detention before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, underpin the 91.4% trader consensus favoring "No."
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว9% โอกาส
$528,704 ปริมาณ
$528,704 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
9% โอกาส
$528,704 ปริมาณ
$528,704 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution or arrest on pre-existing charges, except for insurrection or treason. All five ongoing criminal cases—covering election-law violations, bribery, corruption, misuse of public funds, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—were indefinitely suspended by mid-2025 after he took office in June 2025, with courts citing constitutional protections. No new indictments, legislative moves to strip immunity, or impeachment proceedings have advanced as of mid-2026. These institutional barriers, combined with the absence of fresh legal actions capable of triggering detention before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, underpin the 91.4% trader consensus favoring "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$528,704วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution or arrest on pre-existing charges, except for insurrection or treason. All five ongoing criminal cases—covering election-law violations, bribery, corruption, misuse of public funds, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—were indefinitely suspended by mid-2025 after he took office in June 2025, with courts citing constitutional protections. No new indictments, legislative moves to strip immunity, or impeachment proceedings have advanced as of mid-2026. These institutional barriers, combined with the absence of fresh legal actions capable of triggering detention before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, underpin the 91.4% trader consensus favoring "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$528,704วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution or arrest on pre-existing charges, except for insurrection or treason. All five ongoing criminal cases—covering election-law violations, bribery, corruption, misuse of public funds, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—were indefinitely suspended by mid-2025 after he took office in June 2025, with courts citing constitutional protections. No new indictments, legislative moves to strip immunity, or impeachment proceedings have advanced as of mid-2026. These institutional barriers, combined with the absence of fresh legal actions capable of triggering detention before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, underpin the 91.4% trader consensus favoring "No."
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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