**Recent model consensus from Argentine and international forecasters points to a minimum temperature near 6–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 8, driven by a shift to northerly flow and rising surface pressures that moderate the cold air mass responsible for the 2.4°C reading on September 6.** Clear skies and light winds overnight will allow radiational cooling, yet the absence of strong southerly advection or frost risk keeps most guidance above 5°C. Traders appear split between weighting the recent cold spell—pushing implied odds toward 3–4°C—and the warming signal in updated runs, which favors 5–7°C outcomes. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether the overnight low dips below 5°C before dawn or stabilizes near the forecast mean, with fresh model updates expected to clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
13°C or higher 59%
6°C 45%
3°C or below 44%
5°C 31%
3°C or below
44%
4°C
28%
5°C
31%
6°C
45%
7°C
24%
8°C
9%
9°C
18%
10°C
13%
11°C
8%
12°C
10%
13°C or higher
59%
13°C or higher 59%
6°C 45%
3°C or below 44%
5°C 31%
3°C or below
44%
4°C
28%
5°C
31%
6°C
45%
7°C
24%
8°C
9%
9°C
18%
10°C
13%
11°C
8%
12°C
10%
13°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus from Argentine and international forecasters points to a minimum temperature near 6–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 8, driven by a shift to northerly flow and rising surface pressures that moderate the cold air mass responsible for the 2.4°C reading on September 6.** Clear skies and light winds overnight will allow radiational cooling, yet the absence of strong southerly advection or frost risk keeps most guidance above 5°C. Traders appear split between weighting the recent cold spell—pushing implied odds toward 3–4°C—and the warming signal in updated runs, which favors 5–7°C outcomes. Key resolution thresholds hinge on whether the overnight low dips below 5°C before dawn or stabilizes near the forecast mean, with fresh model updates expected to clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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