Persistent heat dome influence and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico are sustaining overnight lows near 80°F in Houston, aligning with climatological norms for late August where daily minima typically range 77–80°F absent frontal passages. Official NWS guidance and model consensus show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as dry air advection or cloud cover reducing radiative cooling—through August 24, keeping the probability of readings below 75°F low despite market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below. The closely matched 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader assessment of minor variability from urban heat island effects, localized showers, or slight model spread in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Upcoming evening observations and any revised NHC or NOAA guidance on regional pressure gradients remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 60%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
70-71°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
60%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
62%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 60%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
70-71°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
60%
70-71°F
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$104 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$60 ปริมาณ
17%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
78-79°F
$88 ปริมาณ
62%
80-81°F
$285 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$402 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome influence and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico are sustaining overnight lows near 80°F in Houston, aligning with climatological norms for late August where daily minima typically range 77–80°F absent frontal passages. Official NWS guidance and model consensus show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as dry air advection or cloud cover reducing radiative cooling—through August 24, keeping the probability of readings below 75°F low despite market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below. The closely matched 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader assessment of minor variability from urban heat island effects, localized showers, or slight model spread in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Upcoming evening observations and any revised NHC or NOAA guidance on regional pressure gradients remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,876วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome influence and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico are sustaining overnight lows near 80°F in Houston, aligning with climatological norms for late August where daily minima typically range 77–80°F absent frontal passages. Official NWS guidance and model consensus show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as dry air advection or cloud cover reducing radiative cooling—through August 24, keeping the probability of readings below 75°F low despite market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below. The closely matched 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader assessment of minor variability from urban heat island effects, localized showers, or slight model spread in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Upcoming evening observations and any revised NHC or NOAA guidance on regional pressure gradients remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,876วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat dome influence and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico are sustaining overnight lows near 80°F in Houston, aligning with climatological norms for late August where daily minima typically range 77–80°F absent frontal passages. Official NWS guidance and model consensus show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as dry air advection or cloud cover reducing radiative cooling—through August 24, keeping the probability of readings below 75°F low despite market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below. The closely matched 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader assessment of minor variability from urban heat island effects, localized showers, or slight model spread in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Upcoming evening observations and any revised NHC or NOAA guidance on regional pressure gradients remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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