**Current ensemble forecasts for Jinan on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet the near-even split between ≤12°C and ≥22°C outcomes reflects substantial model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes that control overnight lows.** Clear or partly cloudy conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially allowing temperatures to dip below climatological norms if winds remain calm, while any increase in low-level moisture, cloud cover, or mixing from southerly winds could keep readings several degrees warmer. Historical September minima in Jinan average around 17°C, placing the central forecast range within typical late-summer variability, but small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or surface wind speed can swing the realized minimum by 4–6°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tail risks of a sharper cold-air intrusion versus suppressed cooling, with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations from local stations. New model runs and updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Jinan on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 11?
22°C or higher 91%
12°C or below 46%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
46%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
24%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C
38%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C or higher
91%
22°C or higher 91%
12°C or below 46%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$25 ปริมาณ
11%
18°C
$25 ปริมาณ
11%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts for Jinan on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet the near-even split between ≤12°C and ≥22°C outcomes reflects substantial model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes that control overnight lows.**
Clear or partly cloudy conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially allowing temperatures to dip below climatological norms if winds remain calm, while any increase in low-level moisture, cloud cover, or mixing from southerly winds could keep readings several degrees warmer. Historical September minima in Jinan average around 17°C, placing the central forecast range within typical late-summer variability, but small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or surface wind speed can swing the realized minimum by 4–6°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tail risks of a sharper cold-air intrusion versus suppressed cooling, with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations from local stations. New model runs and updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts for Jinan on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet the near-even split between ≤12°C and ≥22°C outcomes reflects substantial model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes that control overnight lows.**
Clear or partly cloudy conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially allowing temperatures to dip below climatological norms if winds remain calm, while any increase in low-level moisture, cloud cover, or mixing from southerly winds could keep readings several degrees warmer. Historical September minima in Jinan average around 17°C, placing the central forecast range within typical late-summer variability, but small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or surface wind speed can swing the realized minimum by 4–6°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tail risks of a sharper cold-air intrusion versus suppressed cooling, with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations from local stations. New model runs and updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts for Jinan on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet the near-even split between ≤12°C and ≥22°C outcomes reflects substantial model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes that control overnight lows.** Clear or partly cloudy conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, potentially allowing temperatures to dip below climatological norms if winds remain calm, while any increase in low-level moisture, cloud cover, or mixing from southerly winds could keep readings several degrees warmer. Historical September minima in Jinan average around 17°C, placing the central forecast range within typical late-summer variability, but small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or surface wind speed can swing the realized minimum by 4–6°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tail risks of a sharper cold-air intrusion versus suppressed cooling, with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations from local stations. New model runs and updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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