Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a high near 27–28°C in Jinan on September 10 under mostly sunny to clear conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s 90.8% implied probability for 26°C or higher, as September climatology in the region favors daytime maxima around 27°C and current atmospheric patterns show no significant cooling influence from fronts or precipitation. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty ranges, though an unexpected increase in afternoon cloudiness or a late forecast adjustment could trim the peak by 1–2°C and narrow the margin above the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on September 10?
26°C or higher 92.7%
23°C 5%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
93%
26°C or higher 92.7%
23°C 5%
24°C 5%
25°C 5%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a high near 27–28°C in Jinan on September 10 under mostly sunny to clear conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s 90.8% implied probability for 26°C or higher, as September climatology in the region favors daytime maxima around 27°C and current atmospheric patterns show no significant cooling influence from fronts or precipitation. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty ranges, though an unexpected increase in afternoon cloudiness or a late forecast adjustment could trim the peak by 1–2°C and narrow the margin above the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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