**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on July 14, 2026, centers on model consensus around a warm overnight minimum amid persistent high pressure.** Current Met Office guidance points to a daytime high near 30°C and minimum of 19°C under largely settled conditions, with other guidance showing overnight lows in the upper teens. This reflects the broader July heatwave pattern, where daytime warmth and clear skies limit radiative cooling overnight, especially with urban heat island effects in central London elevating temperatures relative to rural baselines. Key differentiating factors include exact high-pressure strength and positioning, which control cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and clearer skies favor warmer minima near 19–21°C by suppressing cooling, while any increase in cloud or breeze could pull readings toward 17°C or lower. Ensemble spreads in short-range models introduce the observed clustering around 17–21°C brackets, as small shifts in these variables alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical July climatology (typical minima near 13–15°C) underscores how anomalous the current warm spell is, sustaining elevated market-implied odds for the higher outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office and ECMWF, will be the primary near-term drivers of any sentiment shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on July 14?
Lowest temperature in London on July 14?
17°C 92%
16°C 11%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
11%
17°C
92%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 92%
16°C 11%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 14, 2026
13°C or below
$237 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$173 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$427 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$1,356 ปริมาณ
92%
18°C
$942 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,910 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$432 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$434 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on July 14, 2026, centers on model consensus around a warm overnight minimum amid persistent high pressure.** Current Met Office guidance points to a daytime high near 30°C and minimum of 19°C under largely settled conditions, with other guidance showing overnight lows in the upper teens. This reflects the broader July heatwave pattern, where daytime warmth and clear skies limit radiative cooling overnight, especially with urban heat island effects in central London elevating temperatures relative to rural baselines.
Key differentiating factors include exact high-pressure strength and positioning, which control cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and clearer skies favor warmer minima near 19–21°C by suppressing cooling, while any increase in cloud or breeze could pull readings toward 17°C or lower. Ensemble spreads in short-range models introduce the observed clustering around 17–21°C brackets, as small shifts in these variables alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical July climatology (typical minima near 13–15°C) underscores how anomalous the current warm spell is, sustaining elevated market-implied odds for the higher outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office and ECMWF, will be the primary near-term drivers of any sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,795วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on July 14, 2026, centers on model consensus around a warm overnight minimum amid persistent high pressure.** Current Met Office guidance points to a daytime high near 30°C and minimum of 19°C under largely settled conditions, with other guidance showing overnight lows in the upper teens. This reflects the broader July heatwave pattern, where daytime warmth and clear skies limit radiative cooling overnight, especially with urban heat island effects in central London elevating temperatures relative to rural baselines.
Key differentiating factors include exact high-pressure strength and positioning, which control cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and clearer skies favor warmer minima near 19–21°C by suppressing cooling, while any increase in cloud or breeze could pull readings toward 17°C or lower. Ensemble spreads in short-range models introduce the observed clustering around 17–21°C brackets, as small shifts in these variables alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical July climatology (typical minima near 13–15°C) underscores how anomalous the current warm spell is, sustaining elevated market-implied odds for the higher outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office and ECMWF, will be the primary near-term drivers of any sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,795วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on July 14, 2026, centers on model consensus around a warm overnight minimum amid persistent high pressure.** Current Met Office guidance points to a daytime high near 30°C and minimum of 19°C under largely settled conditions, with other guidance showing overnight lows in the upper teens. This reflects the broader July heatwave pattern, where daytime warmth and clear skies limit radiative cooling overnight, especially with urban heat island effects in central London elevating temperatures relative to rural baselines. Key differentiating factors include exact high-pressure strength and positioning, which control cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing; lighter winds and clearer skies favor warmer minima near 19–21°C by suppressing cooling, while any increase in cloud or breeze could pull readings toward 17°C or lower. Ensemble spreads in short-range models introduce the observed clustering around 17–21°C brackets, as small shifts in these variables alter the overnight low by several degrees. Historical July climatology (typical minima near 13–15°C) underscores how anomalous the current warm spell is, sustaining elevated market-implied odds for the higher outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the Met Office and ECMWF, will be the primary near-term drivers of any sentiment shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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