**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
25°C 75%
24°C 22%
23°C 2.6%
22°C <1%
ใหม่
$10,831 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,831 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C
75%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 75%
24°C 22%
23°C 2.6%
22°C <1%
ใหม่
$10,831 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,831 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
$632 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$797 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,138 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$869 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$661 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$1,305 ปริมาณ
75%
26°C
$1,110 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,665 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$808 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$637 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,321 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,831วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,831วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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