Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
24°C 48%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
48%
25°C
38%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 11, 2026
19°C or below
$315 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$220 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$180 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$169 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C
$180 ปริมาณ
10%
24°C
$537 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$732 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$103 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$429 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$615 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$2,042 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,523วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,523วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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