Trader consensus on Toronto’s lowest temperature for August 23 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty, with Environment Canada guidance and ensemble models centering overnight lows in the 15–17 °C range—near the late-August climatological normal of ~16 °C. Persistent cloud cover, a 40 % chance of showers, and cooler westerly flow behind a frontal passage are limiting radiational cooling and suppressing extremes, keeping both the 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes near 40 % while clustering probabilities around mid-range values. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will clarify whether boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter the minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
20°C or higher 81%
10°C or below 80%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
80%
11°C
5%
12°C
24%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
81%
20°C or higher 81%
10°C or below 80%
15°C 28%
14°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
80%
11°C
$6 ปริมาณ
5%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Toronto’s lowest temperature for August 23 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty, with Environment Canada guidance and ensemble models centering overnight lows in the 15–17 °C range—near the late-August climatological normal of ~16 °C. Persistent cloud cover, a 40 % chance of showers, and cooler westerly flow behind a frontal passage are limiting radiational cooling and suppressing extremes, keeping both the 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes near 40 % while clustering probabilities around mid-range values. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will clarify whether boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Toronto’s lowest temperature for August 23 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty, with Environment Canada guidance and ensemble models centering overnight lows in the 15–17 °C range—near the late-August climatological normal of ~16 °C. Persistent cloud cover, a 40 % chance of showers, and cooler westerly flow behind a frontal passage are limiting radiational cooling and suppressing extremes, keeping both the 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes near 40 % while clustering probabilities around mid-range values. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will clarify whether boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Toronto’s lowest temperature for August 23 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty, with Environment Canada guidance and ensemble models centering overnight lows in the 15–17 °C range—near the late-August climatological normal of ~16 °C. Persistent cloud cover, a 40 % chance of showers, and cooler westerly flow behind a frontal passage are limiting radiational cooling and suppressing extremes, keeping both the 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes near 40 % while clustering probabilities around mid-range values. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will clarify whether boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts alter the minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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