Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market as the expected Labour candidate following the May 14 resignation of incumbent MP Josh Simons, which cleared the path for the Greater Manchester mayor to seek selection at the May 21 meeting ahead of the June 18 poll. Traders assign him the strongest position due to his established regional profile and prior electoral strength in the area, though recent local election results showing Reform UK ahead on vote share introduce notable competition. Robert Kenyon’s second-place standing reflects Reform’s targeted campaign against a Labour seat amid party leadership tensions, while minor candidates trail far behind with limited visibility. The contest remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any further shifts in national polling before polling day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMakerfield by-election Winner
Makerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 66%
Robert Kenyon 32%
James Thomas Bryer 1.3%
Maria Deery 1.1%
$21,066 ปริมาณ
$21,066 ปริมาณ
Andy Burnham
66%
Robert Kenyon
32%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
Maria Deery
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Andy Burnham 66%
Robert Kenyon 32%
James Thomas Bryer 1.3%
Maria Deery 1.1%
$21,066 ปริมาณ
$21,066 ปริมาณ
Andy Burnham
66%
Robert Kenyon
32%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
Maria Deery
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market as the expected Labour candidate following the May 14 resignation of incumbent MP Josh Simons, which cleared the path for the Greater Manchester mayor to seek selection at the May 21 meeting ahead of the June 18 poll. Traders assign him the strongest position due to his established regional profile and prior electoral strength in the area, though recent local election results showing Reform UK ahead on vote share introduce notable competition. Robert Kenyon’s second-place standing reflects Reform’s targeted campaign against a Labour seat amid party leadership tensions, while minor candidates trail far behind with limited visibility. The contest remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any further shifts in national polling before polling day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย