Google’s delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model remains the central factor shaping trader views, as the flagship large language model teased at I/O in May 2026 missed repeated June and July targets and is still limited to partner testing with no public release as of late August. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance relative to rivals have prompted extra tuning, while Google has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations including the recent Gemini 3.7 Flash. CEO Sundar Pichai has pivoted emphasis to training a larger Gemini 4 baseline for more ambitious capabilities and a monthly release cadence, a strategy that historically points to late-year timing. With no confirmed launch window and ongoing internal benchmarks unmet, market-implied odds heavily favor no Pro model by November 1.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,139,081 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
August 31
7%
September 15
14%
September 30
20%
October 31
64%
$1,139,081 ปริมาณ
August 31
$313,501 ปริมาณ
7%
September 15
$1,943 ปริมาณ
14%
September 30
$13,088 ปริมาณ
20%
October 31
$1,657 ปริมาณ
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model remains the central factor shaping trader views, as the flagship large language model teased at I/O in May 2026 missed repeated June and July targets and is still limited to partner testing with no public release as of late August. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance relative to rivals have prompted extra tuning, while Google has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations including the recent Gemini 3.7 Flash. CEO Sundar Pichai has pivoted emphasis to training a larger Gemini 4 baseline for more ambitious capabilities and a monthly release cadence, a strategy that historically points to late-year timing. With no confirmed launch window and ongoing internal benchmarks unmet, market-implied odds heavily favor no Pro model by November 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,139,081วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model remains the central factor shaping trader views, as the flagship large language model teased at I/O in May 2026 missed repeated June and July targets and is still limited to partner testing with no public release as of late August. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance relative to rivals have prompted extra tuning, while Google has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations including the recent Gemini 3.7 Flash. CEO Sundar Pichai has pivoted emphasis to training a larger Gemini 4 baseline for more ambitious capabilities and a monthly release cadence, a strategy that historically points to late-year timing. With no confirmed launch window and ongoing internal benchmarks unmet, market-implied odds heavily favor no Pro model by November 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,139,081วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model remains the central factor shaping trader views, as the flagship large language model teased at I/O in May 2026 missed repeated June and July targets and is still limited to partner testing with no public release as of late August. Persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance relative to rivals have prompted extra tuning, while Google has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations including the recent Gemini 3.7 Flash. CEO Sundar Pichai has pivoted emphasis to training a larger Gemini 4 baseline for more ambitious capabilities and a monthly release cadence, a strategy that historically points to late-year timing. With no confirmed launch window and ongoing internal benchmarks unmet, market-implied odds heavily favor no Pro model by November 1.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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