NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$29,856 ปริมาณ
$29,856 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$29,856 ปริมาณ
$29,856 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$14,404 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,856วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,856วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07's heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+25 Cook PVI and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in Claire Valdez following incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement, with the general election contest rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters due to the district's urban Brooklyn and Queens demographics. A Republican candidate has generated minimal traction, aligning with the 2% implied probability. Late developments that could shift trader views include a significant scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, unusually depressed turnout, or a national political realignment altering local voting patterns before November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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