Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-10 House Election Winner
OH-10 House Election Winner
$17,836 ปริมาณ
$17,836 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
34%
$17,836 ปริมาณ
$17,836 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,492 ปริมาณ
71%
Democratic Party
$10,344 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,836วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,836วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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